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The ASB Program: A Proposal for Phase III
(1999-2002)

Profitable, Resilient, and Environmentally Sound Agroecosystems
At the Tropical Forest Margins

Summary | Rationale for ASB Phase 3 | Objectives of ASB Phase 3

Proposed activities for Phase 3:

Funding Needs

Activity I. Develop methods that integrate biophysical and socioeconomic issues of land-use systems at the landscape scale.

Methods for working at the plot and farm scale and the regional scale (GIS, remote-sensing) are reasonably well developed. There are, however, a number of methodological issues (scaling up and scaling down) which need to be resolved for complex agroecosystems and the management of these complex agroecosystems by human communities at the landscape and watershed scales.

The combinations of several 'best bet' options at the farm, community and watershed scales will have major environmental and socioeconomic outcomes. For example, net greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere will be influenced by the spatial and temporal interactions of sources and sinks at the landscape scale. One of the key challenges is thus to develop methods and to extend existing databases to be able to assess these phenomena at the watershed and landscape level. This whole-farm and landscape-level analysis will build upon the land use specific analysis undertaken in Phase II of ASB. The methods will be developed in collaboration with local land users to ensure that the planning and implementation of land-use systems is sustainable.

A number of attributes of land-use practices follow relatively simple scaling rules, and once assessed at plot-level, can be "scaled up" easily on a unit area basis. Crop production and carbon stocks appear to be in this category. For other functions, however, additive rules cannot be used, and other forms of interactions must be taken into account. Rather than attempting to directly measure these functions at a wide range of spatial scales, we will try to understand the processes and patterns underpinning the scaling rules that govern them. A better understanding of these relations and development of dynamic, spatially interacting models of landscape level processes is necessary to assess when and where specific policy interventions, collective action mechanisms or institutional reforms may be needed, and where current farmer-led mosaic formation may be the best feasible outcome. In some cases considerable conflicts may arise, and conflict resolution analysis will be necessary.

We will develop strong links and share data with GCTE and LUCC programmes to facilitate methods for both scaling up and scaling down, as these programmes have extensive experience with these issues. Linkages and ASB data input to the regional and global carbon and circulation models will contribute to improving the predictive capacity of both ASB and GCTE/LUCC models.

Expected outcomes of this activity include:

  1. Standardised methods for scaling up and down to watershed and landscape levels for data on agronomic, biodiversity, environmental and socioeconomic variables.
  2. Dynamic models for predicting land-use cover changes and the impact of land management strategies at the landscape or watershed scales.
  3. Training of local researchers in the methods developed.

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Page preparation by Dr. Erick C.M. Fernandes, Cornell University.
--ASB Global Coordinator (1998-1999)--

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